What break-even means
Your break-even win rate is the share of bets you need to win to finish exactly level. Win more often and you profit. Win less often and you lose money over time.
Break-even win rate calculator
Enter the odds you usually bet at. See the win rate you need just to break even, and what your own win rate would return.
Break-even win rate52.38%
Wins needed per 100 bets52.4
Your margin over break-even+2.62 pts
Expected ROI at your win rate5.00%
| Odds | Break-even | Wins per 100 |
|---|---|---|
| -200 | 66.67% | 66.7 |
| -150 | 60.00% | 60.0 |
| -120 | 54.55% | 54.5 |
| -110 | 52.38% | 52.4 |
| -105 | 51.22% | 51.2 |
| +100 | 50.00% | 50.0 |
| +120 | 45.45% | 45.5 |
| +150 | 40.00% | 40.0 |
| +200 | 33.33% | 33.3 |
For information only. Results use the odds you enter and don't include any sportsbook rules or limits.
How it works
Break-even calculator: the basics
Why -110 needs 52.4%
At -110 you risk $110 to win $100. Winning 52.4% of bets exactly covers the 47.6% you lose. That's why a 50% win rate at -110 loses money.
Odds change everything
At +150 you only need to win 40% to break even. At -200 you need 66.7%. A win rate only makes sense next to the odds it was achieved at.
Using your average odds
If your bets are at different prices, use your average odds as a guide. For an exact answer, work out ROI from every bet with the ROI calculator.
Related guides: How to track your betting record
Terms used here: Break-even win rate · Win rate · Vig · Full glossary
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FAQ
Break-even calculator questions
What win rate do I need to be profitable?
It depends on the odds. At -110 you need 52.38%. At +100 you need 50%. At +150 you need 40%. The formula is 1 ÷ decimal odds.
Is a 55% win rate good?
At -110, yes. 55% is about 2.6 points above break-even, an ROI of roughly 5%, which is very strong over hundreds of bets.
Do pushes count toward my win rate?
No. Pushes return your stake, so leave them out. Win rate is wins ÷ (wins + losses).